Venting about a pet peeve

“Two new peer-reviewed studies are showing a sharp drop in mortality among hospitalized COVID-19 patients,” Geoff Brumfiel writes. “The drop is seen in all groups, including older patients and those with underlying conditions, suggesting that physicians are getting better at helping patients survive their illness.” According to one of the studies, hospitalized COVID [patients] are now three times more likely to make it through their ordeal alive: “Patients in the study had a 25.6% chance of dying at the start of the pandemic; they now have a 7.6% chance.”

The Morning Dispatch, quoting NPR (emphasis added).

“A third as likely to die” is not the same as “three times more likely to” live. At the start of the pandemic, a hospitalized patient had a 74.4% chance of survival. Now it’s 92.6%. That’s not triple.


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